Overall trend: Downward within a descending price channel.
MACD is in negative territory but showing a slight bullish crossover.
Price is moving below the moving average, with limited attempts at correction.
Support: 1.3030
Resistance: 1.3108
Reasons:
• Growing expectations of the Bank of England holding interest rates steady.
• The strength of the US dollar continues to put pressure on the pound.
• Limited improvement in momentum suggests a possible short-term correction.
Expectation:
A break above 1.3108 could push the price towards 1.3160.
A break below 1.3030 would reopen the decline towards 1.2975.
EUR/USD Chart on the hourtly time frame
Overall trend: Downward within a descending price channel.
MACD is moving in negative territory, with a positive momentum shift beginning.
Short-term moving averages remain below the long-term average, but the price has started moving above the short-term average, suggesting a potential temporary upward correction.
Support: 1.1470
Resistance: 1.1580
Reasons:
• Continued strength of the dollar, supported by positive US data.
• Weakness in the European services sector and a lack of signs of economic improvement.
• Minor profit-taking on the dollar has led to a limited correction.
Expectation:
If the 1.1580 level is broken, we could see a rise towards 1.1620.
However, a break below 1.1470 would revive the downward trend towards 1.1400.
USDJPY chart on the hourly time frame
Overall Trend: Upward within a strong ascending channel.
The MACD is positive and supports continued upward momentum.
Moving averages strongly confirm the upward trend.
Reasons:
• Bank of Japan's continued accommodative monetary policy.
• Rising US Treasury yields.
• Yen weakness due to interest rate differentials.
Expectation:
A break above 154.20 could push the pair towards 155.00.
A break below 153.40 could lead to a correction towards 152.80.
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