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Dec 15, 2025

XAU/USD chart on the weekly time frame

XAU/USD chart on the weekly time frame

Gold opened the week with three sessions of consolidation, followed by a two-session rally that peaked near $4354. At this level, significant selling pressure emerged, reversing the advance and pushing prices to a weekly close below $4300. 

While the recent rally demonstrates underlying momentum, the confluence of resistance near $4354 and the proximity to the all-time high of $4381 warrant a cautious near-term stance. 
Price action between the key support at $4250 and the resistance at $4380 should be monitored before establishing new directional exposure.

From a risk management standpoint, existing long positions should consider implementing a profit protection level at $4250, with a stop-loss at $4160. Any short exposures would logically be defended with a stop-loss above resistance at $4380.

The medium-term outlook requires particular caution. The monthly Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently reads 93, reflecting severely overbought conditions and suggesting the sustainability of the uptrend is at risk. Initiating new long medium-term positions at this juncture carries elevated risk. 

A revised medium-term stop-loss for any ongoing bullish exposure should be set at $4100.
 


EURUSD Chart on the weekly time frame

EURUSD Chart on the weekly time frame

As outlined in the preceding technical framework, EUR/USD advanced for a third consecutive week, sustaining its bullish trajectory

Price action established a weekly high near 1.1763, maintaining scope to progress toward the initial upside objective at 1.1800—a level derived from the measured move projection of the prior channel breakout. 
The broader technical structure remains constructive, with the ongoing consolidation interpreted as a corrective pause within a persisting medium to long-term uptrend. 

In line with this view, the strategic bias continues to favor long exposures on retracements. 

Operationally, this is implemented through a two-tiered approach: last week’s long position should now have its stop raised to a protective level at 1.1700, with profit-taking targeted at 1.1800. 

For medium-term exposure, the established buy-on-dips recommendation remains valid, with a revised stop-loss placed at 1.1450 and an ultimate profit objective near 1.2200.

USTEC chart on the weekly time frame

USTEC chart on the weekly time frame

The USTEC index concluded the previous week in negative territory, halting a two-week advance and failing to extend the prior weekly rally. 

In line with our prior assessment, which recommended a neutral stance pending confirmation from the MACD indicator, and despite the index has closed above the 25,000 level, the MACD generated a significant bearish signal—a high-probability test-and-sell configuration—thereby failing to provide a valid buy trigger.

Consequently, the technical outlook has shifted. It is now advised to liquidate any existing long exposures at prevailing levels. A more proactive bearish posture is warranted, with a short entry recommended upon a confirmed break below the 25,000-support threshold. 

This newly established sell signal would only be invalidated by a sustained weekly close above the 26,000-resistance level.
 

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