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Dec 08, 2025

XAU/USD chart on the weekly time frame

XAU/USD chart on the weekly time frame

As anticipated in the prior analysis, the bullish symmetrical triangle formation on the daily chart, while technically validated, failed to catalyze further upside momentum last week. 

This failure is attributed to the previously noted overextension of monthly momentum oscillators, signaling underlying weakness. 

Current price action suggests the development of a bearish rising wedge pattern on the daily timeframe, warranting close observation this week. 

A decisive close below the $4100 support level would confirm this pattern, whereas a sustained move above $4280 would invalidate it.

From a risk management perspective, long positions should consider implementing a profit protection level at $4160, with a stop-loss placed at $4100. For current short exposures, a logical stop-loss level resides at $4280.

The medium-term outlook continues to favor a downward trajectory, with the previously established target zone near $3700 remaining operative.

The prevailing bias is for further weakness, contingent upon the confirmed breakdown of the noted wedge structure.
 


EURUSD Chart on the weekly time frame

EURUSD Chart on the weekly time frame

In accordance with the previously outlined technical perspective, the EUR/USD pair extended its bullish trajectory for a second consecutive week. 

The advance confirmed a decisive breakout above the prior daily bearish price channel, establishing a constructive foundation for further gains. 

A minor resistance level near 1.1680, likely attributable to near-term profit-taking, temporarily capped the rally. 
The technical structure suggests a potential for a brief corrective pullback in the initial sessions toward the 1.1600 support zone, which would precede a subsequent resumption of the uptrend. The initial upside objective is projected near 1.1800, derived from the measured move of the broken channel.

The broader technical outlook remains positive, interpreting the current consolidation as a corrective phase within a persistent medium to long-term uptrend. Consequently, the strategic bias favors buying on dips. 

This is operationalized through a two-tiered risk management approach: a near-term position can be initiated with a stop-loss placed below 1.1580, targeting 1.1800. For a medium-term horizon, a wider stop-loss can be established below the 1.1300 level, with an ultimate profit objective near 1.2200.
 

USTEC chart on the weekly time frame

USTEC chart on the weekly time frame

As projected in our previous assessment, the USTEC index extended its advance for a second consecutive week. However, this upward move was accompanied by several cautionary technical divergences. 

Notably, last week’s price action occurred on significantly below-average volume and lacked confirmation from supporting technical indicators, introducing doubt regarding the sustainability of the rally.

Our analytical focus this week centers on the MACD indicator, with two defined price levels establishing actionable triggers.

A sustained weekly close above 26,260 would constitute a new bullish signal, effectively invalidating the prior MACD sell indication. Conversely, a weekly close below 25,000 would activate a confirmed sell signal, reinforcing the earlier MACD bearish crossover.

Given the conflicting evidence of price strength against weak momentum and participation, we advocate for a tactical pause this week. 

The recommended strategy is to monitor price action relative to the specified thresholds, deferring new directional commitments until a decisive break confirms the near-term trend.

 

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