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Sep 08, 2025

EUR/USD chart on the hourly time frame

EUR/USD chart on the weekly time frame

The EUR/USD pair has been trading within a defined bearish trendline since July.  

Recently, however, the price action has developed two technically significant bullish divergences 
that suggest a potential trend reversal and an imminent breakout above the prevailing trendline. 

The primary signal is a higher low established in August. This is corroborated by the formation 
of three consecutive weekly candles with pronounced lower shadows, indicating sustained buying pressure and successful defense of the key support zone between 1.1570-1.1580. 

These bullish price action signals, combined with an expansion in buying volume last week, 
increase the probability of an upside breach of the bearish trendline.

A confirmed break above the 1.1760 resistance level would invalidate the current bearish structure and open a projected initial upside target at 1.1900, with a secondary extension objective at 1.2100.

From a risk-management perspective, a strategic long position can be accumulated at current levels 
and augmented on a break above 1.1760, with a stop-loss order placed below critical support at 
1.1560 to define the trade's risk parameters. 


 

XAUUSD Chart on the hourtly time frame

XAUUSD Chart on the weekly time frame

Technical analysis indicates that Gold has completed a significant weekly bullish ascending 
triangle pattern, after confirming a breakout above the $3450 resistance level. This pattern 
projects a medium-term measured move target zone of $3850-$3900, which is substantiated by 
supportive weekly indicator and volume profiles. 

In the near term, however, daily technical indicators appear overbought, suggesting a high 
probability of a corrective pullback to test the $3560 support region.  

While this presents a potential entry opportunity for short-term traders targeting $3650 and 
$3700, the long-term monthly chart reveals extensively stretched conditions, advising against 
initiating new long-term positions.  

A prudent strategy across all time-frames is to maintain a bullish outlook only while price action 
holds above the key weekly support of $3510, with existing positions advised to implement 
stop-loss protection at or near this level to mitigate risk.

USTEC chart on the hourly time frame

USTEC chart on the weekly time frame

The US Tech 100 index (USTEC) recently survived a bearish break below its bullish price 
channel, finding decisive support at the 22,975 level, which will now serve as the critical 
stop-loss for any long exposures.  

However, last week's rebound lacks fundamental strength, as it was not supported by 
corresponding volume and occurred alongside technical indicators that remain in sell signal 
territory.  

The most probable scenario from here is for the index to retest the 24,000 resistance with a 
potentially even generating a slight false breakout—before initiating a renewed downward move 
that is expected to conclusively break the current price channel.  

Therefore, the core strategy is to rate the USTEC as a ‘sell on rallies.’  
More risk-tolerant, trend-following traders may continue to hold long positions, but only with a 
tight stop-loss maintained at the 22,975-support level. 
 

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