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U.S. Reports: Confidence, Home Sales

On Tuesday, October 28, 2025, investors are closely watching upcoming US. economic data scheduled for 6:00 PM UAE time (10:00 AM ET) — the Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index (October) and New Home Sales (September):

First, The Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index for October, which serves as an early indicator of the U.S. economy by assessing households' opinions on current conditions and their future expectations. According to forecasts, the index is expected to register a reading close to 93.9 points, compared to a previous reading of 94.2 points. Second, new home sales for September on an annual basis, released by the U.S. Census Bureau in cooperation with the Department of Housing. The reading is anticipated to be around 710 thousand units annually, seasonally adjusted. These two readings are of significant importance: consumer confidence reflects the willingness of households to spend, which is a key factor for the growth of the U.S. economy, while new home sales indicate the activity of the housing sector, which is directly influenced by interest rates and mortgage loans.

Why is this data important?

• A reading better than expected may indicate a surprising economic improvement, supporting the US dollar and increasing the likelihood of interest rate hikes or delaying cuts by the Federal Reserve.
• A reading weaker than expected may weaken the dollar and open the door to further monetary easing, which could support assets such as gold or stocks sensitive to lower interest rates.
• In the housing market, rising sales indicate resilient demand even with high interest rates, reflecting relative optimism; whereas a decline would point to further pressures on the economy and real estate.

What should be monitored?

• The divergence between consumer confidence readings and expectations: Has momentum improved or declined?
• The gap in new home sales compared to expectations and previous months.
• Market reactions immediately following the data release: movements in the dollar, US bond yields, and subsequently other assets such as stocks and commodities. 

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