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Sep 17, 2025
Markets await Fed amid oil & dollar swings
25bp cut expected, focus on Fed tone
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As the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting concludes today, markets are experiencing a strong sense of anticipation. The consensus is that the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates by 25 basis points, bringing them to a range of 4.00–4.25%. The US dollar remains weak amid easing expectations, having nearly reached its lowest levels against the euro and yen, placing significant pressure on the dollar. Gold prices are recording all-time highs, surpassing $3,700 per ounce, benefitting from the dollar's weakness and a desire for safe assets. Oil remains stable, but geopolitical tensions are exerting pressure: drone attacks on Russian facilities and a warning from Transneft regarding potential production cuts due to damage. |
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Expectations
If dovish statements are issued by Powell or a supportive tone for monetary easing is adopted, we may witness a rise in U.S.
stocks and an increase in gold towards levels around $3,800 per ounce.On the other hand, if the Federal Reserve's tone is cautious or lowers future expectations, the dollar may rebound slightly, putting pressure on gold and reducing oil gains.
Oil may also be affected if Russia or regional countries announce additional production considerations due to geopolitical damages.
- Reliable sources:
- Dollar and shares languish, gold glitters as Fed verdict looms large.
- Oil prices hold steady as markets await Fed rate decision.
- Dollar holds soft tone on rate cut expectations, Powell comments.