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Aug 04, 2025
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Reasons for the decline: OPEC+ production increase: The alliance agreed to increase production by 547,000 barrels per day starting in September, indicating a growing supply glut. Weak US jobs data: Weak job growth in July (only 73,000 jobs) dampened energy demand forecasts, increasing pressure on prices. Export price concerns: Continuing trade tensions and tariffs raise concerns about global oil demand. Technical Outlook: Excess supplies and selling pressure if OPEC+ continues to raise production without strong demand support. |
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Expected Support Range:
Primary Support Near $65.00
Secondary Support at $62.90-$61.70
If trade tensions ease or the Fed weakens its support, a rebound toward:
$68.00 initially, followed by $69.50-$70.00 as targets