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Nov 17, 2025

Data Confirms U.S. Crude Inventory Rise

 

Post-November 13 Data Supports Sharp Inventory Rise Forecast

Following the anticipation that preceded the release of the U.S. crude oil inventory report on November 13, 2025, official data confirmed that your earlier forecast of an inventory buildup was correct. The U.S. Energy Information Administration reported a significant increase of 6.4 million barrels in crude inventories for the week—far exceeding analysts’ expectations of only a slight rise.

The report also showed a modest decline in gasoline and distillate stocks, alongside higher refinery utilization, pointing to a clear imbalance between supply and demand. This substantial rise in crude inventories added downward pressure to oil prices and prompted investors to adopt a more cautious stance, fully aligning with the initial analysis that suggested prices could weaken if inventories increased.
 

  US OIL

Thus, the official data validated the pre-report outlook, confirming that the prediction of rising inventories was based on solid indicators observed prior to the release.

Following the unexpected rise in U.S. crude inventories, analysts expect short-term downward pressure on oil prices. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) is likely to fluctuate around $60.00 per barrel, potentially testing support near $58, while any future inventory declines could temporarily push prices toward $62.


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